2016 Elections Mess

RANKED COCCUS (GERMS?)		POLLS ARE BIASED	BIASED PLURALITY ← VOTING SYSTEM →	VOTES ARE BIASED		VOTE SPLITTING (CHEATS)
CANDIDATE MOST SIMILAR TO THE OTHERS LOSES		2016 ELECTION				CANDIDATE MOST DIFFERENT FROM OTHERS WINS
RANKING IS A VERY FAULTY MEASURE		WHAT IS SO WЯONG				"VOTE FOR ONLY ONE" WRECKS ELECTION
CLASSIFIED EMAILS		BIRTHERS	ANCHOR BABIES	IMMIGRATION	CLINTON INDICTMENT?
STRATEGIC VOTING	PLURALITY VOTING SYSTEM IS BIASED IF MORE THAN TWO RUN		CLAIMS THAT CANDIDATES LIED ABOUT THEIR VOTING RECORDS	VOTING BY RANKING CAN'T TELL IF VOTER LIKES OR DISLIKES		CORPORATE INFLUENCE
RELIGIOUS RIGHTS	DUMP-A-TRUMP	GLBT RIGHTS	NEGATIVE ADVERTISING	ODDBALL WINNERS	BIASED NEWS	DEFECTIVE POLLING
HATE FROM THE GLBT	DISCONNEC TED	CLINTON DYNASTY	IMAGINED HATRED FROM RELIGIOUS PEOPLE	BUSH DYNASTY	SANDERS PIPE DREAMS	TRUMPER TANTRUMP
IVS = INDEPENDENT VOTING SYSTEM			RANKED VOTING	PVS = PLURALITY VOTING SYSTEM
			OUR ELECTIONS DO NOT WORK RIGHT

UNFAIRLY DIVIDING THE ELECTORATE

Notice how the votes of different groups are split different ways when the Plurality Voting System is used.

People are forced to vote for only one candidate.

The vote on each candidate changes as candidates drop out.

A majority of voters can't stop an unwanted candidate because their vote is split.

9 CANDIDATES FEB 4
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100	DONALD TRUMP 28%						B U S
	TED CRUZ 19%			MARCO RUBIO 16%			H S P
	JEB BUSH 5%	BEN CARSON 9%	CHRIS CHRISTIE 5%	CARLY FIORINO 8%	JIM GiLMORE 6%	JOHN KASICH 4%	I N S

7 CANDIDATES FEB 10
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100	DONALD TRUMP 28%				B U S
	TED CRUZ 22%		MARCO RUBIO 18%		H S P
	JEB BUSH 7%	BEN CARSON 11%	JIM GiLMORE 8%	JOHN KASICH 6%	I N S

5 CANDIDATES FEB 24
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100	DONALD TRUMP 39%		B U S
	TED CRUZ 21%	MARCO RUBIO 25%	H S P
	BEN CARSON 7%	JOHN KASICH 8%	I

2 CANDIDATES
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100	DONALD TRUMP 42%	B U S
	TED CRUZ 58%	H S P

FAIRLY MEASURING THE ELECTORATE

Notice how the votes of different groups are not split different ways when the Independent Voting System is used.

People can vote YES or NO (or abstain) on each candidate separately.

The vote on each candidate is mostly unchanged as candidates drop out.

A majority of voters can stop an unwanted candidate because votes are not split.

9 CANDIDATES FEB 4
100
90
80
70
60		TED CRUZ 65%
50			MARCO RUBIO 59%
40					BEN CARSON 49%
30	DONALD TRUMP 39%						CARLY FIORINO 37%
20				JEB BUSH 27%		CHRIS CHRISTIE 29%		JIM GiLMORE 28%	JOHN KASICH 24%
10
0

5 CANDIDATES FEB 24
100
90
80
70
60		TED CRUZ 65%
50			MARCO RUBIO 59%
40				BEN CARSON 49%
30	DONALD TRUMP 39%
20					JOHN KASICH 24%
10
0

WHAT'S WRONG WITH OUR POLLS AND ELECTIONS?
THE WRONG WAY	THE RIGHT WAY
Most opinion polls use the defective Plurality Voting System (PVS).	The opinion polls should use the fair Independent Voting System (IVS).
Most elections use the defective Plurality Voting System (PVS).	The elections should use the fair Independent Voting System (IVS).
The biased PVS unfairly favors the candidate most unlike the others.	The unbiased IVS can't possibly favor or hinder any candidate.
PVS polling can't predict public opinion, but it predicts the PVS election.	IVS polling predicts public opinion, but it can't predict a PVS election.
A PVS poll/election expects each voter to like exactly one candidate.	An IVS poll/election lets voters favor more than one candidate.
A PVS poll/election gives a percentage breakdown of the electorate.	A "percentage breakdown of the electorate" misrepresents many voters.
Reporters like a nice percentage breakdown of the electorate.	Reporters must learn that people don't divide into neat percentages.
A PVS poll/election splits voters' votes among similar candidates.	An IVS poll/election lets voters choose multiple similar candidates.
With Plurality Voting, a majority can't vote to stop a candidate.	With fair voting, a majority can vote to stop a candidate from winning.
The straight-party device lets high office races bias other races.	Abolishing the straight-party device makes elections more fair.
THE WRONG WAY	THE RIGHT WAY
A ranking poll/election can't tell where the voter stops liking candidates.	Ranking is a poor statistical indication of anything (often used to deceive).
A ranking poll/election artificially elevates losing candidates	An IVS poll/election never artificially elevates losing candidates
The Iowa Caucus uses a version of ranking, elevating losers.	The Iowa Caucus should use an IVS election to be fairer.
The Iowa Caucus results differ from PVS results for the same voters.	The fair IVS differs from the unfair PVS and from unfair ranking systems.
The biased Microsoft made software to score the Iowa Caucus.	The fair IVS can be scored with nothing but pencil and paper.
Differing Iowa Caucus results make reporters think Iowa is strange.	Iowa results should show reporters the biases in PVS and in ranking.
Reporters unaware ranking doesn't give Trump unfair PVS advantage.	Reporters should recognize effects of different voting methods.
Reporters unaware ranking made Clinton and Sanders totals so close.	Reporters should see that voters voted one 1st and the other 2nd.
The Minnesota Caucus uses ranking like the Iowa Caucus.	The Minnesota Caucus should use an IVS election to be even fairer.
Trump came in third in the fairer Minnesota Caucus.	Trump can't win anything except a Plurality Voting System election.
THE WRONG WAY	THE RIGHT WAY
The adversarial nature of PVS is the cause of negative campaigning.	Negative campaigning does not work when IVS is used for elections.
The large number of candidates amplifies the errors in the PVS.	The IVS is not affected in any way by a large number of candidates.
People must change their preferences as candidates drop out.	People usually don't change their preferences as candidate drop out.
People change their votes (insincere) to keep worst candidates out.	People can always sincerely vote their consciences and win.
Reporters think political money causes the effects of PVS biases.	No political force but sheer numbers can offset PVS bias effects.
Reporters attribute the effects of PVS biases to "momentum".	The term "momentum" makes no sense in either sports or elections.
People actually think Clinton and Sanders can keep their promises.	Neither can keep spending promises larger than the US GNP.
The winner of the state gets all of the delegates or electors.	The winner of each district gets those delegates or electors.
The New York Times concocted fake stories to discredit Trump.	Negative campaigning won't work with the Independent Voting System.
News leaks showed Hillary Clinton wanting to change religious beliefs.	You do not have the right to change anyone's religious beliefs.
THE WRONG WAY	THE RIGHT WAY
Liberals say Clinton win the popular vote, so she should be president.	The Electoral College was intended to block big state advantage. It did.
Jill Stein (Green party) is paying for a recount to stop Trump.	Those who can't win a recount must not request one.
Many hate groups are acting as though Trump supports their hate.	Don't believe the fake New York Times stories saying Trump is racist.
Electors are receiving threats of death if they vote for Trump.	Don't try to fight "hate" with death threats.
Many victim groups are acting as though Trump supports hate groups.	Don't believe the fake New York Times stories saying Trump is racist.
Electors are being told by Democrats that Russia hacked the election.	Stop trying to take back the election. You LOST! Get over it!
Democrats blame everyone but themselves for their election loss.	Hillary lost the election by hating people's religious beliefs.
Electors are being told by Democrats to vote their consciences.	They did! Hillary Clinton lost more votes than Trump did.

COMPARING A SAMPLE BALLOT ON 7 DIFFERENT VOTING SYSTEMS
Example: A typical religious conservative's selections on each voting system (used to show multiple selection criteria).
PLURALITY	APPROVAL	BORDA / CONDORCET / INST RUNOFF *	RANGE	INDEPENDENT
Vote for only one	Vote for all liked	Rank: 1st to 11th, 1st = best	Rate: 0 to 10, 10 = best	Each candidate Y, N, or abstain
[ ] Jeb Bush [ ] Ben Carson [ ] Chris Christie [ ] Ted Cruz [ ] Carly Fiorina [ ] Jim Gilmore [ ] Mike Huckabee [ ] John Kasich [ ] Rand Paul [ ] Marco Rubio [ ] Rick Santorum [ ] Donald Trump	[ ] Jeb Bush [ ] Ben Carson [ ] Chris Christie [ ] Ted Cruz [ ] Carly Fiorina [ ] Jim Gilmore [ ] Mike Huckabee [ ] John Kasich [ ] Rand Paul [ ] Marco Rubio [ ] Rick Santorum [ ] Donald Trump	[ 9 ] Jeb Bush [ 5 ] Ben Carson [ 10 ] Chris Christie [ 1 ] Ted Cruz [ 8 ] Carly Fiorina [ 7 ] Jim Gilmore [ 2 ] Mike Huckabee [ 11 ] John Kasich [ 6 ] Rand Paul [ 4 ] Marco Rubio [ 3 ] Rick Santorum [ 12 ] Donald Trump	[ 1 ] Jeb Bush [ 6 ] Ben Carson [ 1 ] Chris Christie [ 10 ] Ted Cruz [ 4 ] Carly Fiorina [ 5 ] Jim Gilmore [ 10 ] Mike Huckabee [ 0 ] John Kasich [ 5 ] Rand Paul [ 8 ] Marco Rubio [ 9 ] Rick Santorum [ 0 ] Donald Trump	[ ] Y N [ ] Jeb Bush [ ] Y N [ ] Ben Carson [ ] Y N [ ] Chris Christie [ ] Y N [ ] Ted Cruz [ ] Y N [ ] Carly Fiorina [ ] Y N [ ] Jim Gilmore [ ] Y N [ ] Mike Huckabee [ ] Y N [ ] John Kasich [ ] Y N [ ] Rand Paul [ ] Y N [ ] Marco Rubio [ ] Y N [ ] Rick Santorum [ ] Y N [ ] Donald Trump
ELECTION SYSTEM FAULTS
PLURALITY	APPROVAL	BORDA / CONDORCET / INST RUNOFF *	RANGE	INDEPENDENT
- Unfair if more than 2 run - Favors oddballs - Disfavors mainstream - Splits votes - 3rd party disrupts	- Favors centrists - Unequal number of votes - Slightly longer voting time	- Gaining more votes can prevent win - Much longer voting time - Circular preferences can produce no winner - Very close outcomes - Unsure if voter likes or dislikes - Can't like equally - Requires numeric input - Takes longer to count	- Very close outcomes - Much longer voting time - Requires numeric input - Takes longer to count	- Two ballot spaces per candidate - Slightly longer voting time
OUTCOME ACCURACY RANK
PLURALITY	APPROVAL	BORDA / CONDORCET / INST RUNOFF *	RANGE	INDEPENDENT
7th (worst)	3rd	4th / 5th / 6th	2nd	1st (best)
NOTES ON THE SYSTEMS
PLURALITY	APPROVAL	BORDA / CONDORCET / INST RUNOFF *	RANGE	INDEPENDENT
- Used in most elections - Causes bigger errors - Most don't see faults - Majority can't stop win	- Many candidates OK - Minutia can pick winner - Majority can't stop win	* Differences between these 3 are in the vote counting methods used. All 3 are voted identically. - The 3 methods can produce 3 different results for the same ballots cast. - Many candidates OK - All 3 have the known faults of ranking - Minutia can pick winner - Iowa & Minnesota rank only first 3 - Majority can't stop win	- Many candidates OK - Minutia can pick winner - Majority can't stop win	- YES = Voter likes - NO = Voter dislikes - ABSTAIN = neither of above - Many candidates OK - Score = YES sum - NO sum - Result usually distinct - Picks candidate most liked - Majority can stop win

WACKY EVENTS IN THE 2016 ELECTIONS
Trump has unexpected unfair support.	Plurality Voting System (PVS) unfairly favors the candidate most different from others.
Trump on Kim Davis: "Tell that ##### to get back to work".	Trump favors GLBT rights more than our religious rights.
Trump refused to promise not to run as an independent.	Trump is a control freak who can't be trusted. He might still run as an independent.
Trump got mad at Megyn Kelly's questions.	Trump didn't like being asked questions that were embarrassing to him.
Trump claims Cruz is Canadian, and can't be president.	Cruz was born to an American citizen, so the location of birth doesn't matter.
Trump boycotted the Fox News Republican debate.	Trump didn't want Fox News's Megyn Kelly to be a moderator in the new debate.
Cruz Campaigners falsely said that Carson dropped out.	They thought CNN's wrongly misinterpreted Carson statement meant he left the race.
Trump accused Cruz of stealing Iowa Caucus votes.	Rank votes can't be stolen. Trump didn't get the unfair PVS support he got elsewhere.
Trump throws a "Trumper tantrump" about losing in Iowa	Trump is a control freak. His outburst was based on his ignorance of voting systems.
Trump claims to be for religious freedom.	Trump told Kim Davis to "Get back to work", denying her religious freedom.
Rubio broke out in a sweat during a debate.	Some people react that way to hot spotlights. Rubio could not avoid the reaction.
Candidates disparaged each other's physical traits.	This is nothing but ad-hominem attacks. Candidates are acting like third-graders.
David Duke (former KKK head) endorsed Trump.	Trump can't control who endorses him. But he does a good job of assinating* himself.
Frump says he didn't know who David Duke was.	It took the page author half an hour to remember who David Duke was.
White supremacists and racial bigots vote for Trump.	Trump is the only candidate the beliefs of these people will allow them to vote for.
Of course, there are winner-take-all states.	Winner-take-all is just as unfair as the Plurality Voting System is.
Trump is probably unelectable in the fall.	Trump as nominee would probably lose to Clinton. Cruz or Rubio would probably win.
Trump made a lot of convincing promises.	Trump seems to change his mind whenever he wants to. His promises are worthless.
Everyone is talking in percent of the vote.	Vote Percentages signify defective election systems. Fair systems can't use percents.
The candidates are badmouthing each other.	The Plurality Voting System rewards badmouthing. Fair election systems do not.
Trump wants to send all undocumented aliens home.	Trump used undocumented workers to construct buildings and operate casinos.
Trump University: not a university, not accredited.	A university must have colleges, graduate schools, divinity school, and be accredited.
Trump University sued for swindling people.	Not accredited, it can't provide a path to a degree.
Trump wants Christie to be his running mate.	Both have lied and used underhanded practices in their work.
Clinton & Sanders promise free stuff from government.	There is not enough wealth in the world to pay for the things they are promising.
Trump would tax imported products by 35%.	Taxing imports does not hurt foreign manufacturers. This hurts American consumers.
Sanders would tax all stocks at large rates.	Sanders will tax away everyone's pension by doing this. This hurts American workers.
Trump comes in 3rd in MN, behind Rubio and Cruz.	Trump can't win in ranking, or in anything but an unfair Plurality Voting System election.
Clinton wants "to make the nation whole again."	More likely she wants to drill a hole to drain our wealth out for more social programs.
Romney calls Trump a phony and a fraud.	Trump retaliated by calling Romney names. But what Romney said seems to be true.
Hillary says our country is still great.	How are we "great" when the unemployed are "working" and foreigners ignore us?
Trump blows his top at the RNC, the states, and the press.	In saying they are corrupt, "Third-Grade Trump" acts like a mean kid on a playground.
Kasich keeps running to force a contested convention.	Dog-in-manger Kasich won't let Trump or Cruz win so he might win the convention vote.
Trump keeps calling Ted Cruz "Lyin' Ted."	Trump lied about this, because Cruz didn't lie. Any lying, if done, was done by others.
Trump accused Cruz because some states don't vote.	"Third-Grade Trump" is like a bully on the playground who didn't get his way.
Trump: "Any GLBT can use any restroom in Trump Tower."	The truth is out: Trump favors GLBT rights more than our religious rights.
Trump uses lies, pejoratives, innuendo, and namecalling.	"Third-Grade Trump" acts like a mean kid on the playground demeaning other kids.
Trump lies about protecting our religious rights.	Trump doesn't even understand our religions, so how can he protect our rights?
Trump claims to be a Christian.	Owning a casino and siding with GLBT rights show he is Christian in name only.
The namecalling and accusing is still going on.	The unfair PVS makes candidates try to steal votes. Fair elections can't do that.
Kasich tries an alliance with Cruz to stop Trump.	It didn't work. Kasich should have quit when Rubio did, to give us fair elections.
Trump said Cruz's Father helped Oswald kill Kennedy.	"Prevaricating Third-Grade Trump" told a total fabrication just to win in Indiana.
Cruz could have won Indiana if Kasich had quit.	Egotistical Kasich stayed in to possibly get an establishment nomination.
Everyone dropped out but Trump.	Voters in the remaining primaries have no control. Vote for Trump or lose your vote.
Trump and reporters keep counting the votes Trump got.	Total votes are irrelevant. Votes count differently in different states. They don't add up.
Every candidate still running is a pathological liar.	The unfair PVS ultimately picks the most oddball candidates to run against each other.
All candidates left favor GLBT rights over religious rights.	The unfair PVS disenfranchised religious people by picking the most worldly candidates.
Trump played a song about having sex at his win party.	The Rolling Stones want him to stop playing their songs at parties. So do evangelicals.
Many Republicans are refusing to support Trump.	Religious people can't vote for Trump because of his pro-GLBT statements.
Trump claimed the primaries were "rigged" against him.	Trump won the early primaries because the PVS was unfairly "rigged" in his favor.
Any "anti-Trump" revolt will hurt other Republicans.	The unfair Straight-Party Device and the PVS should be abolished.
An effort by a majority to stop Trump did not work.	The unfair PVS causes this and should be abolished.
The New York Times used fake stories to discredit Trump.	The unfair PVS lets this work and should be abolished.
Leaks show Hillary Clinton wants to change religions.	This attitude against religious beliefs cost her the election.
Liberals say Clinton won popular vote, so make her president.	The Electoral College was intended to block big state advantage. It did.
Jill Stein is paying for a recount to stop Trump.	If Stein had not run, Clinton might have won. Stein and PVS beat Clinton.
Many cities decide to be sanctuary cities.	More evidence that municipal governments are totally unnecessary.
Hate groups are acting as though Trump supports their hate.	They believed the fake New York Times stories saying Trump is racist.
Electors are receiving threats of death if they vote for Trump.	Liberals are trying to fight "hate" with death threats??? Non-sequitur!
Many victim groups think that Trump supports hate groups.	They believed fake stories saying Trump acts against nonwhites, Islam, and women.
Democrat ads say that Russia hacked the election.	Russia hacked the news. Democrats refuse to believe they lost. It violates their religion!
Democrats blame everyone but themselves for their loss.	Hillary the Hater lost the election by hating people's religious beliefs.
Democrats hate all religions but their own liberal ones.	"Make all obey Political Correctness, Egalitarianism, Multiculturalism, and Diversity."
Democrats and Greens told electors to vote their consciences.	They did! Hillary Clinton lost more "conscience votes" than Trump did.
Democrats keep trying to change the outcome of the election.	Losing elections violates their religious beliefs. They also did this in 2000 and 2004.
Most states use the unfair Plurality Voting System.	We are assinated.* Unfair elections choose our leaders. We need fair elections.
(To be updated as events happen.)	* Assinate - to make an ass of.

THE PLURALITY VOTING SYSTEM IS THE STINKING HIPPOPOTAMUS IN THE LIVING ROOM
"VOTE FOR ONLY ONE" is the indication that you are voting with the unfair Plurality Voting System (PVS).
PVS is unfair whenever more than 2 candidates run.
PVS unfairly favors the candidate most different from the others (e.g. Trump).
PVS unfairly disfavors all candidates similar to other candidates (e.g. Cruz and Rubio).
The polls using PVS contain the same unfair biases.
PVS divides voters into the percentages the press likes. Fair voting systems can't produce percentages.
To get more votes in a PVS election, a candidate must steal votes from other candidates. This is impossible with fair election systems.
The stealing of votes causes the negative campaigning, the animosity, the backbiting, and the lies. Fair elections don't do this.
Negative campaigning can take votes from one candidate and give them to another.
The negative campaigning caused by the PVS is tearing the political parties apart.
With PVS, the voter must abandon his favorite candidate to keep the worst choice out.
It is unfair that the voter who likes more than one candidate can't vote for more than one in PVS.
The voter's vote doesn't count when the voter doesn't like any of the candidates.
PVS allows Straight Party Voting, unfair to candidates running for minor offices.
The Plurality Voting System unfairly favors the candidate most different from the others in primary elections too.
PVS makes it impossible for a majority to stop an undesirable candidate from winning.
The two candidates most different from the others picked by the primaries face off in the general elections.
Third party candidates then mess with the general election to select the worst candidate possible to win the election.
Candidates use PVS to cause contested conventions or send the election into the House by dividing the Electoral College.

2016 ELECTION

WHAT IS SO WЯONG